Combat Edge Intelligence

John Makdessi vs Noah Gugnon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamBulgarian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Noah GugnonNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
68%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John MakdessiNoah Gugnon
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (33%)
9 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Noah Gugnon62%
John Makdessi 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Noah Gugnon a 62% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Noah Gugnon enters on a 5-fight win streak.

John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.