John Marsh vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
222 lbsWeight242 lbs
Team Neutral GroundsTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1535
If they lose-15→ 1503
If they win+15→ 1547
If they lose-17→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John MarshPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Vespaziani63%
John Marsh 37%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 63% favorite over John Marsh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1532), separated by just 14 points.
John Marsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Marsh finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.