Combat Edge Intelligence

John Moraga vs Ronaldo Rodríguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66,0"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamPrime Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John MoragaNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Ronaldo RodríguezNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.15
56%
Strike defense
47%
0.62
Takedown avg.
1.13
23%
Takedown accuracy
50%
45%
Takedown defense
64%
1.07
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

John MoragaRonaldo Rodríguez
16501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
8 (42%)
Submission
5 (31%)
8 (42%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronaldo Rodríguez56%
John Moraga 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronaldo Rodríguez a 56% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Moraga's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1697), separated by just 3 points.

John Moraga finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Rodríguez 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.