Combat Edge Intelligence

John Phillips vs Wes Schultz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Phillips

John Phillips

“The Welsh Wrecking Machine”

22-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1623Solid
Wes Schultz
us

Wes Schultz

“Party Time”

9-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1622Solid

Tale of the tape

22-11-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John PhillipsNow 1623
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611
Wes SchultzNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.72
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
34%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.11
49%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
2.39
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
8%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3.59

Trajectory

John PhillipsWes Schultz
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (91%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
2 (9%)
Submission
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Wes Schultz67%
John Phillips 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 67% favorite over John Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Phillips's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.

John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Phillips finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.

Wes Schultz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.