Combat Edge Intelligence

John Renken vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Renken
us

John Renken

“The Saint”

18-28-4MiddleweightHnS

1430Developing

Tale of the tape

18-28-4Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
182 lbsWeight185 lbs
USCAATeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — John Renken carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John RenkenNow 1430
If they win+13→ 1443
If they lose-11→ 1419
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+14→ 1480
If they lose-18→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John RenkenOndřej Raška
1400145015002002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
13 (72%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (11%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška72%
John Renken 28%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 72% favorite over John Renken in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1430, a 36-point edge.

John Renken enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Renken finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.