Combat Edge Intelligence

John Teixeira vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-9-2Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight140 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John TeixeiraNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598
Mehdi SaadiNow 1608
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.67
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John TeixeiraMehdi Saadi
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
10 (37%)
Submission
4 (57%)
9 (33%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Mehdi Saadi66%
John Teixeira 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Saadi a 66% favorite over John Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Teixeira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1608), separated by just 2 points.

John Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

John Teixeira finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.