Combat Edge Intelligence

John Teixeira vs Steven Peterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-9-2Record19-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John TeixeiraNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598
Steven PetersonNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.76
35%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.94
63%
Strike defense
53%
1
Takedown avg.
1.42
27%
Takedown accuracy
27%
71%
Takedown defense
64%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

John TeixeiraSteven Peterson
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
10 (37%)
Submission
8 (42%)
9 (33%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Peterson61%
John Teixeira 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Peterson a 61% favorite over John Teixeira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Teixeira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

John Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Teixeira finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.