Combat Edge Intelligence

John Yannis vs Matt Hobar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Yannis
us

John Yannis

“The Juice”

10-5-0BantamweightUFC

1612Solid
Matt Hobar
us

Matt Hobar

“The Crowbar”

9-3-0BantamweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
N/ATeamOctagon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John YannisNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Matt HobarNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
54%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
74%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
3.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John YannisMatt Hobar
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

John Yannis70%
Matt Hobar 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes John Yannis a 70% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1608), separated by just 4 points.

John Yannis finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hobar 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.