Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Case vs Ottman Azaitar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Johnny Case
us

Johnny Case

“Hollywood”

28-10-1WelterweightRFF

1664Good

Tale of the tape

28-10-1Record13-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72,5"Reach71"
159 lbsWeight156 lbs
MMA LabTeamJupps Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny CaseNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Ottman AzaitarNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
5.73
39%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
61%
Strike defense
48%
1.70
Takedown avg.
0
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
100%
0.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Johnny CaseOttman Azaitar
1650170020232024

Win method breakdown

20 (71%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
4 (14%)
Submission
2 (15%)
4 (14%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Ottman Azaitar60%
Johnny Case 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ottman Azaitar a 60% favorite over Johnny Case in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johnny Case's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Ottman Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Johnny Case finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ottman Azaitar 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.