Johnny Rees vs Kiefer Crosbie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
178 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Johnny ReesKiefer Crosbie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Rees58%
Kiefer Crosbie 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Rees a 58% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiefer Crosbie's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1567), separated by just 5 points.
Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Johnny Rees finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.