Combat Edge Intelligence

Johnny Rhodes vs Patrick Vespaziani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'7"
TBDReach79"
210 lbsWeight242 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Spirit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johnny RhodesNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Patrick VespazianiNow 1532
If they win+16→ 1548
If they lose-16→ 1516

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Johnny RhodesPatrick Vespaziani
145015001550160019951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Vespaziani60%
Johnny Rhodes 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Vespaziani a 60% favorite over Johnny Rhodes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1532), separated by just 3 points.

Johnny Rhodes enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Vespaziani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.