Combat Edge Intelligence

Johny Hendricks vs Ray Cooper III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record25-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69,0"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
Team TakedownTeamLion of Judah

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Johny HendricksNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Ray Cooper IIINow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
3.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
47%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Johny HendricksRay Cooper III
1700175018002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
16 (64%)
1 (6%)
Submission
7 (28%)
9 (50%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Cooper III53%
Johny Hendricks 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Cooper III a 53% favorite over Johny Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johny Hendricks's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1704), separated by just 1 points.

Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ray Cooper III enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Johny Hendricks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ray Cooper III 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.