Joilton Lutterbach vs Shamil Abdulaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-9-0Record16-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team PeregrinoTeamUniversal Fighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joilton LutterbachShamil Abdulaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Abdulaev62%
Joilton Lutterbach 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Abdulaev a 62% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joilton Lutterbach's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1719), separated by just 0 points.
Joilton Lutterbach enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joilton Lutterbach finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdulaev 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.