Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon delos Reyes vs Jordan Molinari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67,0"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Countershot MMATeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon delos ReyesNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Jordan MolinariNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
3.20
Takedown avg.
TBD
83%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.92
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jon delos ReyesJordan Molinari
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (63%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Molinari67%
Jon delos Reyes 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 67% favorite over Jon delos Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jon delos Reyes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1554), separated by just 6 points.

Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jon delos Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Molinari 0%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.