Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Fitch vs Kevin Holland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

32-8-2Record29-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach81"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamPhalanx MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon FitchNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729
Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
4.24
51%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
54%
Strike defense
50%
3.64
Takedown avg.
0.79
55%
Takedown accuracy
0%
56%
Takedown defense
58%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Jon FitchKevin Holland
175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (22%)
KO/TKO
14 (48%)
5 (16%)
Submission
9 (31%)
20 (63%)
Decision
6 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Holland66%
Jon Fitch 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 66% favorite over Jon Fitch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jon Fitch's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1741 vs 1736), separated by just 5 points.

Jon Fitch finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.