Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Garcia vs Will Chope

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Will Chope
us

Will Chope

“The Kill”

42-21-0WelterweightOLMMA

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record42-21-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cicero CostaTeamJuggernaut Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan GarciaNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Will ChopeNow 1583
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.93
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jonathan GarciaWill Chope
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (14%)
3 (60%)
Submission
29 (69%)
1 (20%)
Decision
7 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Garcia63%
Will Chope 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Garcia a 63% favorite over Will Chope in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.

Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Will Chope enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Will Chope 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.