Jonathan Goulet vs Tyler Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record13-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
169 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team LegionTeamMemphis Judo and Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan GouletTyler Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyler Hill55%
Jonathan Goulet 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyler Hill a 55% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan Goulet's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan Goulet finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Hill 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.