Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Mix vs Wiktor Zalewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MixNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Wiktor ZalewskiNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.38
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jonathan MixWiktor Zalewski
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Wiktor Zalewski60%
Jonathan Mix 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wiktor Zalewski a 60% favorite over Jonathan Mix in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

Jonathan Mix enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jonathan Mix finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wiktor Zalewski 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.