Combat Edge Intelligence

Jora Ayvazyan vs Manoel Sousa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record14-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Lion HeartTeamAcademia Octogono

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jora AyvazyanNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Manoel SousaNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.31
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.31

Trajectory

Jora AyvazyanManoel Sousa
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (21%)
7 (41%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jora Ayvazyan and Manoel Sousa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1732), separated by just 1 points.

Jora Ayvazyan enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Manoel Sousa enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jora Ayvazyan finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Manoel Sousa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.