Combat Edge Intelligence

Jora Ayvazyan vs Paul Felder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Felder
us

Paul Felder

“The Irish Dragon”

17-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
70"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Lion HeartTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jora AyvazyanNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Paul FelderNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.29
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Jora AyvazyanPaul Felder
17001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (41%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Jora Ayvazyan70%
Paul Felder 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jora Ayvazyan a 70% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Felder's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1734), separated by just 3 points.

Jora Ayvazyan enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jora Ayvazyan finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.