Combat Edge Intelligence

Jora Ayvazyan vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-1-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Lion HeartTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jora AyvazyanNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Rafael FizievNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
90%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jora AyvazyanRafael Fiziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (7%)
7 (41%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jora Ayvazyan and Rafael Fiziev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1730), separated by just 1 points.

Jora Ayvazyan enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Jora Ayvazyan finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.