Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Espinosa vs Mia Grawe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mia Grawe
us

Mia Grawe

“Raw”

3-0-0FlyweightPFL

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record3-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
38,0"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan EspinosaNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Mia GraweNow 1572
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jordan EspinosaMia Grawe
15501600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
7 (47%)
Submission
1 (33%)
6 (40%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mia Grawe70%
Jordan Espinosa 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mia Grawe a 70% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Espinosa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1572), separated by just 0 points.

Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mia Grawe enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jordan Espinosa finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mia Grawe 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.