Combat Edge Intelligence

Jordan Johnson vs Ray Cooper III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-1Record25-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
41,0"Reach70"
205 lbsWeight182 lbs
MMA LabTeamLion of Judah

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jordan JohnsonNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Ray Cooper IIINow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
3.25
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jordan JohnsonRay Cooper III
1650170017502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
16 (64%)
4 (33%)
Submission
7 (28%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Johnson53%
Ray Cooper III 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Johnson a 53% favorite over Ray Cooper III in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ray Cooper III's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1704), separated by just 1 points.

Ray Cooper III enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jordan Johnson finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ray Cooper III 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.