Jordan Molinari vs Louis Gaudinot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record8-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'3"
-ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan MolinariLouis Gaudinot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Molinari70%
Louis Gaudinot 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 70% favorite over Louis Gaudinot in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Louis Gaudinot's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1560), separated by just 6 points.
Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jordan Molinari finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Louis Gaudinot 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.