Jordan Molinari vs Nate Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jordan MolinariNate Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Molinari63%
Nate Smith 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 63% favorite over Nate Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Smith's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1558), separated by just 4 points.
Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nate Smith enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jordan Molinari finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Nate Smith 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.