Jorge Gurgel vs Kevin Robledo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5′6″
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight150 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jorge GurgelKevin Robledo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Robledo60%
Jorge Gurgel 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Robledo a 60% favorite over Jorge Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Gurgel's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1559), separated by just 5 points.
Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Robledo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jorge Gurgel finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Robledo 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.