Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Augusto vs Neil Wain

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Wain

Neil Wain

“Old Skool”

13-4-0HeavyweightM4TC

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
263 lbsWeight242 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose AugustoNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Neil WainNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1474 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.64
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.57
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jose AugustoNeil Wain
160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Neil Wain60%
Jose Augusto 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Neil Wain a 60% favorite over Jose Augusto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1597), separated by just 4 points.

Jose Augusto finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Neil Wain 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.