Combat Edge Intelligence

Jose Ochoa vs Mateus Mendonça

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jose Ochoa
pe

Jose Ochoa

“Kalzifer”

9-2-0FlyweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jose OchoaNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Mateus MendonçaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
38%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
61%
Strike defense
30%
0.43
Takedown avg.
2.54
50%
Takedown accuracy
27%
59%
Takedown defense
56%
1.28
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Jose OchoaMateus Mendonça
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
1 (11%)
Submission
5 (45%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Ochoa62%
Mateus Mendonça 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Ochoa a 62% favorite over Mateus Mendonça in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1656), separated by just 6 points.

Jose Ochoa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Mendonça 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.