Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Luciano vs Mario Miranda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record14-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Absolute MMATeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph LucianoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Mario MirandaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.46
TBD
Strike defense
37%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joseph LucianoMario Miranda
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
6 (60%)
Submission
5 (36%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Luciano66%
Mario Miranda 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Luciano a 66% favorite over Mario Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Miranda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1615), separated by just 3 points.

Mario Miranda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joseph Luciano finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mario Miranda 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.