Combat Edge Intelligence

Joseph Luciano vs Ron Stallings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ron Stallings
us

Ron Stallings

“The Choir Boy”

15-8-0MiddleweightCES

1615Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record15-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Absolute MMATeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joseph LucianoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Ron StallingsNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
61%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joseph LucianoRon Stallings
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
6 (60%)
Submission
6 (40%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Luciano59%
Ron Stallings 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Luciano a 59% favorite over Ron Stallings in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ron Stallings's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1615), separated by just 3 points.

Ron Stallings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joseph Luciano finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Ron Stallings 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.