Josh Appelt vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
253 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh AppeltTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa63%
Josh Appelt 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 63% favorite over Josh Appelt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Appelt's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1611), separated by just 3 points.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Josh Appelt finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.