Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Bennett vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-14-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
259 lbsWeight240 lbs
TBDTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Josh Bennett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh BennettNow 1430
If they win+20→ 1450
If they lose-12→ 1418
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+19→ 1528
If they lose-29→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh BennettSascha Weinpolter
1450150020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter92%
Josh Bennett 8%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 92% favorite over Josh Bennett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1430, a 79-point edge.

Josh Bennett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Josh Bennett finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.