Josh Bumgarner vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
175 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Peak PerformanceTeamTeam XCWT MMA
What's at stake
Josh Bumgarner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryan Parker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1529
If they lose-25→ 1481
If they win+17→ 1507
If they lose-15→ 1475
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh BumgarnerRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Parker60%
Josh Bumgarner 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 60% favorite over Josh Bumgarner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Bumgarner's way (48%).
Josh Bumgarner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1506 to 1490, a 16-point edge.
Josh Bumgarner enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Bumgarner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.