Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Culibao vs Lerryan Douglas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-1Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Igor MMATeamKiller Bees

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Lerryan DouglasNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
11.67
45%
Strike accuracy
88%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
60%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
66%
Takedown defense
0%
0.29
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh CulibaoLerryan Douglas
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (21%)
5 (45%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerryan Douglas60%
Josh Culibao 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 60% favorite over Josh Culibao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lerryan Douglas enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Josh Culibao finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Lerryan Douglas 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.