Josh Culibao vs Micah Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-1Record21-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Igor MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh CulibaoMicah Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Culibao52%
Micah Miller 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Culibao a 52% favorite over Micah Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Micah Miller's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Culibao finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Micah Miller 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.