Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Diekmann vs Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Diekmann
us

Josh Diekmann

“The Freight Train”

15-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1550Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,5"
228 lbsWeight253 lbs
Tri-Force MMATeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh DiekmannNow 1550
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Josh DiekmannLuis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
4 (27%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira63%
Josh Diekmann 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 63% favorite over Josh Diekmann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Diekmann's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1549), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Diekmann enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Diekmann finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.