Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Ferguson vs Ode Osbourne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ode Osbourne
us

Ode Osbourne

“The Jamaican Sensation”

13-9-0FlyweightUFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record13-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach73"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All American MMATeamWaukesha MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FergusonNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Ode OsbourneNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
44%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
32%
Strike defense
49%
0.59
Takedown avg.
0.94
11%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Josh FergusonOde Osbourne
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
10 (91%)
Submission
4 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Ode Osbourne57%
Josh Ferguson 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ode Osbourne a 57% favorite over Josh Ferguson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1591), separated by just 7 points.

Josh Ferguson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ode Osbourne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Ferguson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ode Osbourne 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.