Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Fremd vs Steve Byrnes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record6-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"HeightTBD
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamMMA Development

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FremdNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Steve ByrnesNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
1.20
44%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
47%
Strike defense
27%
0.66
Takedown avg.
3
25%
Takedown accuracy
60%
30%
Takedown defense
0%
1.09
Submission avg.
4

Trajectory

Josh FremdSteve Byrnes
1550160016502006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
4 (36%)
Submission
5 (83%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Fremd and Steve Byrnes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Fremd finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Steve Byrnes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.