Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Grispi vs Luis Saldaña

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Grispi
us

Josh Grispi

“The Fluke”

14-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1659Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record18-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
South Shore Sport FightingTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh GrispiNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Luis SaldañaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
5.16
42%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
50%
Strike defense
60%
1.97
Takedown avg.
0.64
37%
Takedown accuracy
18%
17%
Takedown defense
44%
2.25
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Josh GrispiLuis Saldaña
16501700175020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
7 (50%)
Submission
6 (33%)
1 (7%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Grispi53%
Luis Saldaña 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Grispi a 53% favorite over Luis Saldaña in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1656), separated by just 3 points.

Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luis Saldaña enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Grispi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Luis Saldaña 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.