Josh Haynes vs Yusaku Kinoshita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record6-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,5"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamPancrase Inagakigumi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1544
If they lose-16→ 1512
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh HaynesYusaku Kinoshita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yusaku Kinoshita60%
Josh Haynes 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 60% favorite over Josh Haynes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Haynes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1527), separated by just 1 points.
Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Haynes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.