Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Koscheck vs Neiman Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
73"Reach73.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dethrone Base CampTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Neiman GracieNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
2.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
48%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.43
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh KoscheckNeiman Gracie
16501700201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (24%)
Submission
9 (69%)
7 (41%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Neiman Gracie56%
Josh Koscheck 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Neiman Gracie a 56% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Josh Koscheck finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Neiman Gracie 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.