Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Neal vs Leandro Camargo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Neal
us

Josh Neal

“El Tigre”

6-5-0WelterweightCAMMA

1422Developing

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReach-
160 lbsWeight161 lbs
TBDTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

Leandro Camargo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Josh Neal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh NealNow 1422
If they win+19→ 1441
If they lose-13→ 1409
Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+13→ 1502
If they lose-19→ 1470

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh NealLeandro Camargo
14501500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (33%)
Submission
6 (86%)
2 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo83%
Josh Neal 17%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 83% favorite over Josh Neal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Leandro Camargo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1422, a 67-point edge.

Josh Neal enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Neal finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Camargo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.