Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Quinlan vs Matt Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1546Average
Matt Lee
us

Matt Lee

14-10-1WelterweightVP

1549Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record14-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamThe Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh QuinlanNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Matt LeeNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.34
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh QuinlanMatt Lee
155016001650201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
2 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Quinlan and Matt Lee within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1549), separated by just 3 points.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Lee 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.