Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Quinlan vs Phil Cardella

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1546Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record8-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh QuinlanNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Phil CardellaNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
42%
Strike accuracy
50%
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
54%
Strike defense
58%
0.34
Takedown avg.
0
11%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
11%
0
Submission avg.
2.50

Trajectory

Josh QuinlanPhil Cardella
15501600165020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
2 (33%)
Submission
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil Cardella60%
Josh Quinlan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil Cardella a 60% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1548), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Phil Cardella enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Phil Cardella 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.