Josh Quinlan vs Tyler Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record13-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'4"
72"Reach79"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamMemphis Judo and Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh QuinlanTyler Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Quinlan52%
Tyler Hill 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Quinlan a 52% favorite over Tyler Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyler Hill's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1552), separated by just 6 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Hill 92%.
Tyler Hill carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.