Josh Quinlan vs Zak Bucia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record19-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamDragon House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh QuinlanZak Bucia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Quinlan59%
Zak Bucia 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Quinlan a 59% favorite over Zak Bucia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zak Bucia's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1553), separated by just 7 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Zak Bucia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zak Bucia 84%.
Josh Quinlan and Zak Bucia share 1 common opponent: Jason Witt.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.