Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Schockman vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Schockman
us

Josh Schockman

“The Warhammer”

6-3-0Light HeavyweightSF

1448Developing

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record17-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
Dirty South Fight TeamTeamCM System

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Schockman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh SchockmanNow 1448
If they win+29→ 1477
If they lose-19→ 1429
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+10→ 1531
If they lose-14→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
33%
Strike accuracy
36%
0.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
58%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
23%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh SchockmanMatheus Scheffel
1450150015501600200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel70%
Josh Schockman 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 70% favorite over Josh Schockman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1448, a 73-point edge.

Josh Schockman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Josh Schockman finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.