Josh Silveira vs Mark Coleman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record16-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamHammer House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh SilveiraMark Coleman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Silveira55%
Mark Coleman 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Silveira a 55% favorite over Mark Coleman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Silveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mark Coleman 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.