Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Silveira vs Maurício Rua

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record27-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUniversidade da Luta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh SilveiraNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Maurício RuaNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.01
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
49%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Josh SilveiraMaurício Rua
1700175020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
21 (78%)
6 (40%)
Submission
1 (4%)
3 (20%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Silveira72%
Maurício Rua 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Silveira a 72% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1691), separated by just 4 points.

Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Silveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Maurício Rua 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.