Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Silveira vs Muhammed Lawal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh SilveiraNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Muhammed LawalNow 1693
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh SilveiraMuhammed Lawal
17001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
6 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Silveira72%
Muhammed Lawal 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Silveira a 72% favorite over Muhammed Lawal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.

Muhammed Lawal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Silveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Muhammed Lawal 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.